As per previous post, the outcome of the next election is dependent on various events. Since the time of the last entry the political landscape has been revised and its not certain that the liberals under Trudeau will be able to hold on to power. However due to Bernier leaving the CPC to form a new party that depending on his success could create a situation where if he can gather enough seats, that the outcome of the next election would most likely be a minority. In those situations the voter is put in a position of trying to vote for the party they believe will garner the most seats (CPC or LPC), or will be most likely be the king maker (NDP, Green, Bloc, or the new party Bernier has a year to get up and running).
A good indication of which of the king makers is gaining by the major party's inside polls is who they concentrate their attacks on.
We live in interesting times.
Stay tuned.